AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Nov 16, 2024

Dungannon Swifts

Home
VS
15:00

Glentoran

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Dungannon Swifts Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Glentoran Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.07 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Dungannon Swifts Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Dungannon… vs Portadown 2-0
Oct 12 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 2-0
Oct 06 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-3
Sep 28 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 4-0
Sep 21 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-1
Sep 17 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Sep 13 Dungannon… vs Portadown 2-1
Sep 07 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-0
Aug 24 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-0
Aug 17 Dungannon… vs Linfield 3-1
Glentoran Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Glentoran vs Glentoran 0-3
Nov 02 Glentoran vs Larne 0-2
Oct 26 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 2-1
Oct 19 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 0-0
Oct 19 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 1-1
Oct 12 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 0-1
Oct 12 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 2-0
Oct 04 Glentoran vs Linfield 1-3
Oct 01 Glentoran vs Newington… 2-3
Sep 28 Glentoran vs Glentoran 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dungannon Swifts in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Glentoran struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 12, 2024 Glentoran 2 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Sep 21, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Sep 07, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Apr 20, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 0 - 3 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 09, 2024 Glentoran 4 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Dec 23, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 04, 2023 Glentoran 1 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Sep 16, 2023 Glentoran 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Sep 09, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 3 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Glentoran Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Dungannon Swifts Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Glentoran Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.