AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 10, 2025

Larne

Home
VS
19:45

Cliftonville FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Larne Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Cliftonville FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Cliftonville FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Larne Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Larne vs Crusaders… 1-3
Dec 26 Larne vs Carrick R… 0-0
Dec 23 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-1
Dec 01 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 1-1
Nov 16 Larne vs Linfield 0-1
Nov 10 Larne vs Coleraine… 2-1
Nov 02 Larne vs Glentoran 0-2
Oct 27 Larne vs Portadown 2-1
Oct 19 Larne vs Crusaders… 1-1
Oct 06 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-3
Cliftonville FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Dec 21 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 1-2
Dec 14 Cliftonvi… vs Portadown 2-0
Dec 01 Cliftonvi… vs Larne 1-1
Nov 16 Cliftonvi… vs Ballymena… 0-1
Nov 05 Cliftonvi… vs Bangor 0-1
Nov 01 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Oct 22 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 2-1
Oct 19 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 0-0
Oct 05 Cliftonvi… vs Carrick R… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cliftonville FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2024 Larne 1 - 1 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Sep 27, 2024 Cliftonville FC 1 - 3 Larne Premiership
Jul 05, 2024 Larne 2 - 1 Cliftonville FC Charity Shield
Apr 13, 2024 Larne 8 - 1 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Apr 02, 2024 Cliftonville FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 30, 2024 Cliftonville FC 2 - 0 Larne Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Cliftonville FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Cliftonville FC Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.