AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 01, 2024

Larne

Home
VS
14:00

Cliftonville FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Larne Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Cliftonville FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.29 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Cliftonville FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Larne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Larne vs Linfield 0-1
Nov 10 Larne vs Coleraine… 2-1
Nov 02 Larne vs Glentoran 0-2
Oct 27 Larne vs Portadown 2-1
Oct 19 Larne vs Crusaders… 1-1
Oct 06 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-3
Sep 27 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 1-3
Sep 20 Larne vs Glentoran 2-0
Sep 17 Larne vs Glentoran 0-0
Sep 14 Larne vs Linfield 0-1
Cliftonville FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Cliftonvi… vs Ballymena… 0-1
Nov 05 Cliftonvi… vs Bangor 0-1
Nov 01 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Oct 22 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 2-1
Oct 19 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 0-0
Oct 05 Cliftonvi… vs Carrick R… 2-0
Sep 27 Cliftonvi… vs Larne 1-3
Sep 21 Cliftonvi… vs Ballymena… 3-2
Aug 31 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 1-0
Aug 24 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cliftonville FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2024 Cliftonville FC 1 - 3 Larne Premiership
Jul 05, 2024 Larne 2 - 1 Cliftonville FC Charity Shield
Apr 13, 2024 Larne 8 - 1 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Apr 02, 2024 Cliftonville FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 30, 2024 Cliftonville FC 2 - 0 Larne Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Cliftonville FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Cliftonville FC Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.