AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 27, 2024

Cliftonville FC

Home
VS
18:45

Larne

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Cliftonville FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Larne Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.83 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cliftonville FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Cliftonville FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Cliftonvi… vs Ballymena… 3-2
Aug 31 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 1-0
Aug 24 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 1-1
Aug 17 Cliftonvi… vs Glenavon … 1-2
Aug 11 Cliftonvi… vs Portadown 1-0
Jul 05 Cliftonvi… vs Larne 2-1
Apr 20 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 2-0
Apr 16 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 2-1
Apr 13 Cliftonvi… vs Larne 8-1
Apr 06 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 2-2
Larne Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Larne vs Glentoran 2-0
Sep 17 Larne vs Glentoran 0-0
Sep 14 Larne vs Linfield 0-1
Sep 07 Larne vs Ballymena… 0-1
Sep 01 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-1
Jul 05 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 2-1
Apr 27 Larne vs Coleraine… 5-0
Apr 22 Larne vs Linfield 1-1
Apr 16 Larne vs Glentoran 1-2
Apr 13 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 8-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 05, 2024 Larne 2 - 1 Cliftonville FC Charity Shield
Apr 13, 2024 Larne 8 - 1 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Apr 02, 2024 Cliftonville FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 30, 2024 Cliftonville FC 2 - 0 Larne Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cliftonville FC Power 0
Larne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Cliftonville FC Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Larne Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.