AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Apr 13, 2024

Larne

Home
VS
16:30

Cliftonville FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Larne Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Cliftonville FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.58 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.6 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Cliftonville FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Larne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-1
Apr 02 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
Mar 30 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Mar 16 Larne vs Glentoran 6-1
Mar 09 Larne vs Coleraine… 0-0
Feb 23 Larne vs Glentoran 3-0
Feb 17 Larne vs Ballymena… 0-1
Feb 03 Larne vs Glentoran 5-0
Jan 20 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-2
Jan 12 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-2
Cliftonville FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 2-2
Apr 02 Cliftonvi… vs Larne 0-2
Mar 30 Cliftonvi… vs Larne 2-0
Mar 01 Cliftonvi… vs Portadown 0-2
Feb 17 Cliftonvi… vs Glenavon … 4-2
Feb 10 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 4-1
Feb 06 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 2-2
Jan 26 Cliftonvi… vs Carrick R… 0-1
Jan 20 Cliftonvi… vs Ballymena… 3-0
Jan 05 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cliftonville FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2024 Cliftonville FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 30, 2024 Cliftonville FC 2 - 0 Larne Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Cliftonville FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Cliftonville FC Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.