AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Jan 27, 2024

Central Coast Mariners

Home
VS
08:45

Brisbane Roar

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Central Coast Mariners Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Brisbane Roar Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 1.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Central Coast Mariners Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Brisbane Roar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 3-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Central Coast Mariners Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Central C… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Jan 13 Central C… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Jan 06 Central C… vs Western S… 0-1
Dec 31 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 4-2
Dec 21 Central C… vs Brisbane … 0-3
Dec 17 Central C… vs Melbourne… 3-3
Dec 03 Central C… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Nov 12 Central C… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Nov 04 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Oct 29 Central C… vs Macarthur… 1-2
Brisbane Roar Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-1
Jan 18 Brisbane … vs Macarthur… 1-3
Jan 14 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-2
Dec 28 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 8-1
Dec 21 Brisbane … vs Central C… 0-3
Dec 10 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 0-2
Dec 01 Brisbane … vs Western S… 2-2
Nov 26 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Nov 12 Brisbane … vs Central C… 1-2
Nov 04 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 5-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Central Coast Mariners in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Brisbane Roar struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2023 Brisbane Roar 0 - 3 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Nov 12, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar A-League
Apr 01, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Feb 10, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
May 03, 2022 Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Mar 05, 2022 Central Coast Marin… 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Central Coast Mariners Power 0
Brisbane Roar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Central Coast Mariners Position

-4

Position Gap

7

Brisbane Roar Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.