AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Dec 21, 2023

Brisbane Roar

Home
VS
08:45

Central Coast Mariners

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Brisbane Roar Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Central Coast Mariners Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 2.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Brisbane Roar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Central Coast Mariners Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Brisbane Roar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 0-2
Dec 01 Brisbane … vs Western S… 2-2
Nov 26 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Nov 12 Brisbane … vs Central C… 1-2
Nov 04 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 5-2
Oct 21 Brisbane … vs Macarthur… 1-1
Sep 16 Brisbane … vs Western S… 4-2
Aug 14 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 2-3
Apr 29 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Apr 16 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-2
Central Coast Mariners Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Central C… vs Melbourne… 3-3
Dec 03 Central C… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Nov 12 Central C… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Nov 04 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Oct 29 Central C… vs Macarthur… 1-2
Oct 20 Central C… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Aug 13 Central C… vs Sydney 3-3
Jun 03 Central C… vs Melbourne… 1-6
May 20 Central C… vs Adelaide … 2-0
May 13 Central C… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brisbane Roar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Central Coast Mariners struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar A-League
Apr 01, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Feb 10, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
May 03, 2022 Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Mar 05, 2022 Central Coast Marin… 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brisbane Roar Power 0
Central Coast Mariners Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Brisbane Roar Position

+4

Position Gap

11

Central Coast Mariners Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.