AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 12, 2023

Central Coast Mariners

Home
VS
06:00

Brisbane Roar

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Central Coast Mariners Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Brisbane Roar Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.30 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Central Coast Mariners Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Brisbane Roar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Central Coast Mariners Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Oct 29 Central C… vs Macarthur… 1-2
Oct 20 Central C… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Aug 13 Central C… vs Sydney 3-3
Jun 03 Central C… vs Melbourne… 1-6
May 20 Central C… vs Adelaide … 2-0
May 13 Central C… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Apr 28 Central C… vs Adelaide … 1-4
Apr 15 Central C… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Apr 01 Central C… vs Brisbane … 4-1
Brisbane Roar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 5-2
Oct 21 Brisbane … vs Macarthur… 1-1
Sep 16 Brisbane … vs Western S… 4-2
Aug 14 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 2-3
Apr 29 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Apr 16 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-2
Apr 08 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-0
Apr 01 Brisbane … vs Central C… 4-1
Mar 12 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Mar 05 Brisbane … vs Macarthur… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brisbane Roar in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Central Coast Mariners struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Feb 10, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
May 03, 2022 Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Mar 05, 2022 Central Coast Marin… 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Central Coast Mariners Power 0
Brisbane Roar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Central Coast Mariners Position

-4

Position Gap

7

Brisbane Roar Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.