AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Jan 03, 2025

Newport City

Home
VS
19:30

Trethomas Bluebirds

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Newport City Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Trethomas Bluebirds Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.90 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.0
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Trethomas Bluebirds Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Newport City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Newport C… vs Cwmbran C… 0-1
Dec 20 Newport C… vs Caerau (E… 3-1
Nov 01 Newport C… vs Trethomas… 2-1
Sep 27 Newport C… vs Pontyprid… 0-1
Aug 16 Newport C… vs Caerau (E… 1-2
Aug 06 Newport C… vs Cambrian … 0-0
Jul 20 Newport C… vs Llantwit … 2-0
Trethomas Bluebirds Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Trethomas… vs Cwmbran C… 4-6
Nov 22 Trethomas… vs Baglan Dr… 0-1
Nov 01 Trethomas… vs Newport C… 2-1
Oct 19 Trethomas… vs Haverford… 0-0
Sep 27 Trethomas… vs Llantwit … 1-1
Sep 17 Trethomas… vs Bala Town 1-4
Sep 14 Trethomas… vs Pontyprid… 2-3
Aug 26 Trethomas… vs Caerau (E… 2-2
Aug 23 Trethomas… vs Trefelin 2-2
Aug 02 Trethomas… vs Baglan Dr… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newport City in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2024 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 - 1 Newport City FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Newport City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newport City Power 0
Trethomas Bluebirds Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.