AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Nov 01, 2024

Trethomas Bluebirds

Home
VS
19:45

Newport City

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Trethomas Bluebirds Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Newport City Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.49 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Trethomas Bluebirds Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Newport City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Trethomas Bluebirds Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Trethomas… vs Haverford… 0-0
Sep 27 Trethomas… vs Llantwit … 1-1
Sep 17 Trethomas… vs Bala Town 1-4
Sep 14 Trethomas… vs Pontyprid… 2-3
Aug 26 Trethomas… vs Caerau (E… 2-2
Aug 23 Trethomas… vs Trefelin 2-2
Aug 02 Trethomas… vs Baglan Dr… 3-1
Jul 27 Trethomas… vs Llantwit … 0-1
Jul 20 Trethomas… vs Cwmbran C… 2-3
Newport City Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Newport C… vs Pontyprid… 0-1
Aug 16 Newport C… vs Caerau (E… 1-2
Aug 06 Newport C… vs Cambrian … 0-0
Jul 20 Newport C… vs Llantwit … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Trethomas Bluebirds to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Trethomas Bluebirds Power 0
Newport City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.