AI Match Insights
Liga 1 Apr 18, 2025
Pusamania Borneo
HomeVS
08:30
PSM Makassar
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Pusamania Borneo Win
Draw
PSM Makassar Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Combined: 57%
Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.38 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.1
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pusamania Borneo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
3-2 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
Pusamania Borneo Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11 | Pusamania… vs Persib Ba… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Pusamania… vs Dewa Unit… | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Pusamania… vs Persis So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Pusamania… vs Persita | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Pusamania… vs Malut Uni… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Pusamania… vs Semen Pad… | 1-3 |
| Dec 20 | Pusamania… vs Persebaya… | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Pusamania… vs Persepam … | 5-0 |
| Dec 02 | Pusamania… vs PSM Makas… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Pusamania… vs Persib Ba… | 1-0 |
PSM Makassar Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10 | PSM Makas… vs Semen Pad… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | PSM Makas… vs Dewa Unit… | 3-2 |
| Jan 18 | PSM Makas… vs PSBS Biak… | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | PSM Makas… vs Persis So… | 0-1 |
| Dec 29 | PSM Makas… vs Persita | 2-1 |
| Dec 17 | PSM Makas… vs Malut Uni… | 2-2 |
| Dec 07 | PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- PSM Makassar struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 02, 2024 | PSM Makassar | 1 - 0 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo | 1 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Piala Presiden |
| Mar 29, 2024 | PSM Makassar | 1 - 1 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Pusamania Borneo | 1 - 0 | PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | PSM Makassar | 3 - 0 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Pusamania Borneo | 1 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jul 03, 2022 | Pusamania Borneo | 2 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Piala Presiden |
| Feb 11, 2022 | PSM Makassar | 0 - 1 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Pusamania Borneo | 2 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pusamania Borneo to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Pusamania Borneo Power
0
PSM Makassar Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Pusamania Borneo Position+11
Position Gap13
PSM Makassar Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.