AI Match Insights

Liga 1 Mar 29, 2024

PSM Makassar

Home
VS
13:30

Pusamania Borneo

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
PSM Makassar Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Pusamania Borneo Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.25 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Pusamania Borneo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
PSM Makassar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 1-0
Feb 28 PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… 0-0
Feb 24 PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… 0-0
Feb 04 PSM Makas… vs Persita 4-0
Dec 04 PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… 0-0
Sep 25 PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… 1-0
Aug 28 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 1-0
Aug 18 PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… 1-0
Aug 11 PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… 3-2
Aug 07 PSM Makas… vs Persita 0-1
Pusamania Borneo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Pusamania… vs Persebaya… 2-1
Mar 02 Pusamania… vs Persita 0-1
Nov 27 Pusamania… vs Persis So… 1-0
Oct 21 Pusamania… vs Persib Ba… 1-1
Oct 01 Pusamania… vs Persepam … 1-2
Sep 25 Pusamania… vs PSM Makas… 1-0
Sep 03 Pusamania… vs Persebaya… 2-1
Aug 25 Pusamania… vs Persita 2-1
Jul 15 Pusamania… vs Persis So… 2-1
Apr 16 Pusamania… vs PSM Makas… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pusamania Borneo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2023 Pusamania Borneo 1 - 0 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Apr 16, 2023 PSM Makassar 3 - 0 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Dec 23, 2022 Pusamania Borneo 1 - 1 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Jul 03, 2022 Pusamania Borneo 2 - 1 PSM Makassar Piala Presiden
Feb 11, 2022 PSM Makassar 0 - 1 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Oct 22, 2021 Pusamania Borneo 2 - 1 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PSM Makassar Power 0
Pusamania Borneo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

PSM Makassar Position

-11

Position Gap

2

Pusamania Borneo Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.