AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Dec 17, 2025

Central

Home
VS
22:00

Morvant Caledonia United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Central Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Morvant Caledonia United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.35 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Morvant Caledonia United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Central Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Central vs Cunupia 2-3
Dec 11 Central vs La Horque… 0-0
Nov 30 Central vs Prison Se… 1-0
Nov 22 Central vs Club Sando 6-1
Nov 09 Central vs Phoenix 2-3
Oct 31 Central vs Police 2-1
Oct 26 Central vs Point For… 2-1
May 17 Central vs Police 0-1
May 10 Central vs Point For… 0-6
May 04 Central vs Defence F… 0-1
Morvant Caledonia United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Morvant C… vs Police 3-2
Dec 10 Morvant C… vs Ath­let­i… 3-2
Nov 21 Morvant C… vs San Juan … 2-2
Nov 01 Morvant C… vs Club Sando 0-2
Oct 25 Morvant C… vs Prison Se… 3-2
Jun 01 Morvant C… vs Cunupia 0-1
May 17 Morvant C… vs Prison Se… 2-1
May 09 Morvant C… vs Police 3-2
May 04 Morvant C… vs Point For… 1-0
Apr 26 Morvant C… vs Defence F… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Central in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Morvant Caledonia United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 Central 2 - 2 Morvant Caledonia U… Pro League
Dec 21, 2024 Morvant Caledonia U… 0 - 2 Central Pro League
Mar 10, 2024 Morvant Caledonia U… 2 - 0 Central Pro League
Dec 15, 2023 Central 1 - 3 Morvant Caledonia U… Pro League
Jun 14, 2023 Morvant Caledonia U… 0 - 1 Central Pro League
Mar 18, 2023 Central 1 - 1 Morvant Caledonia U… Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Central to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Central Power 0
Morvant Caledonia United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Central Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Morvant Caledonia United Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.