AI Match Insights

First Division League (FDL) Feb 19, 2024

Al Jabalain

Home
VS
13:05

Al-Faisaly

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Al Jabalain Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Al-Faisaly Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.32 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Jabalain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Al-Faisaly Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Al Jabalain Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Al Jabala… vs Al Arabi … 1-0
Jan 23 Al Jabala… vs Al-Faisaly 0-1
Jan 09 Al Jabala… vs Al-Batin 0-0
Jan 09 Al Jabala… vs Jeddah Cl… 0-1
Jan 03 Al Jabala… vs Al Riyadh 2-0
Jan 03 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 1-0
Dec 25 Al Jabala… vs Al-Batin 2-1
Dec 13 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 0-2
Dec 05 Al Jabala… vs Al-Adalah 1-1
Oct 24 Al Jabala… vs Al Arabi … 1-2
Al-Faisaly Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Al-Faisaly vs Al-Ittiha… 0-4
Jan 23 Al-Faisaly vs Al Jabala… 0-1
Jan 10 Al-Faisaly vs Al Orubah 2-2
Dec 19 Al-Faisaly vs Jeddah Cl… 1-4
Dec 06 Al-Faisaly vs Al Arabi … 3-0
Oct 23 Al-Faisaly vs Al-Batin 2-2
Oct 03 Al-Faisaly vs Al Riyadh 0-0
Sep 26 Al-Faisaly vs Al Taee 2-0
Sep 14 Al-Faisaly vs Al Jabala… 2-0
Aug 15 Al-Faisaly vs Al Jabala… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Faisaly struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2024 Al Jabalain 0 - 1 Al-Faisaly First Division…
Sep 14, 2023 Al-Faisaly 2 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
Aug 15, 2023 Al-Faisaly 3 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
Feb 02, 2023 Al Jabalain 1 - 2 Al-Faisaly First Division…
Aug 31, 2022 Al-Faisaly 3 - 1 Al Jabalain First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Jabalain Power 0
Al-Faisaly Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Al Jabalain Position

+2

Position Gap

7

Al-Faisaly Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.