AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 04, 2026

Livingston

Home
VS
19:45

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Livingston Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Falkirk Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 38%
Market 35%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 53%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
xG: 1.46 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8 Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Livingston Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Livingston vs Motherwell 0-2
Jan 24 Livingston vs Aberdeen 6-2
Jan 20 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-1
Jan 17 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-1
Jan 10 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Jan 03 Livingston vs Heart of … 1-0
Dec 30 Livingston vs Dundee Utd 1-3
Dec 27 Livingston vs Celtic 2-4
Dec 20 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-0
Dec 13 Livingston vs Dundee 2-2
Falkirk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Falkirk vs Celtic 2-0
Jan 24 Falkirk vs Hibernian 4-1
Jan 17 Falkirk vs Heart of … 1-1
Jan 14 Falkirk vs Celtic 0-1
Jan 10 Falkirk vs St. Mirren 0-2
Jan 03 Falkirk vs Aberdeen 1-0
Dec 27 Falkirk vs Dundee 1-0
Dec 20 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Dec 13 Falkirk vs Heart of … 0-2
Dec 06 Falkirk vs Hibernian 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Falkirk 1 - 1 Livingston Premiership
Aug 09, 2025 Livingston 3 - 1 Falkirk Premiership
Mar 25, 2025 Livingston 1 - 0 Falkirk Championship
Jan 31, 2025 Falkirk 1 - 2 Livingston Championship
Nov 16, 2024 Livingston 1 - 0 Falkirk Championship
Oct 08, 2024 Falkirk 0 - 0 Livingston Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Livingston Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Livingston Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Falkirk Position
Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.