AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Feb 05, 2026

Al Sailiya SC

Home
VS
14:45

Al-Gharafa

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Al Sailiya SC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Al-Gharafa Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 32%
Market 35%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 45%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
xG: 2.02 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.2 Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Sailiya SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Al Sailiya SC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… 0-0
Jan 27 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Bidda 1-3
Jan 27 Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… 1-0
Jan 20 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … 2-1
Jan 19 Al Sailiy… vs Al Ahli D… 2-1
Jan 17 Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC 2-1
Jan 10 Al Sailiy… vs Muaither … 1-1
Jan 06 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Rayyan 1-3
Dec 28 Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah 0-0
Dec 14 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Duhail 2-0
Al-Gharafa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 1-3
Jan 22 Al-Gharafa vs Sharjah FC 1-1
Jan 19 Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC 3-2
Jan 15 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … 1-2
Jan 06 Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal 2-3
Dec 27 Al-Gharafa vs Al Shahan… 3-0
Dec 13 Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakrah 2-3
Dec 04 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … 2-1
Nov 28 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail 1-1
Nov 21 Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakrah 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2025 Al-Gharafa 0 - 3 Al Sailiya SC QSL Cup
Sep 12, 2025 Al-Gharafa 2 - 0 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Mar 03, 2024 Al Sailiya SC 3 - 1 Al-Gharafa QFA Cup
Jan 29, 2023 Al Sailiya SC 1 - 2 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Aug 02, 2022 Al-Gharafa 2 - 1 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Mar 10, 2022 Al Sailiya SC 3 - 2 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Dec 29, 2021 Al-Gharafa 3 - 0 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Dec 08, 2021 Al Sailiya SC 3 - 0 Al-Gharafa QSL Cup
Nov 08, 2021 Al-Gharafa 3 - 1 Al Sailiya SC QSL Cup
Feb 13, 2021 Al-Gharafa 0 - 1 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Sailiya SC Power 0
Al-Gharafa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Al Sailiya SC Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Al-Gharafa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.