AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Feb 06, 2026

Mathare United

Home
VS
13:00

Tusker

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Mathare United Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Tusker Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 0.36 - 2.13
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mathare United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Tusker Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (19%) 0-1 (18%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Mathare United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Mathare U… vs Kisumu Al… 0-0
Jan 31 Mathare U… vs KCB 1-2
Jan 25 Mathare U… vs Soy United 1-0
Jan 24 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Jan 18 Mathare U… vs Talanta 2-1
Jan 16 Mathare U… vs Ulinzi St… 1-0
Jan 11 Mathare U… vs Vihiga Un… 1-2
Jan 10 Mathare U… vs Murang'a … 0-2
Dec 21 Mathare U… vs Bandari 1-0
Dec 21 Mathare U… vs MOFA 0-4
Tusker Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Tusker vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Jan 25 Tusker vs KCB 1-2
Jan 17 Tusker vs Bandari 1-2
Jan 11 Tusker vs AFC Leopa… 0-4
Dec 21 Tusker vs APS Bomet 0-1
Dec 17 Tusker vs Nairobi U… 0-1
Dec 14 Tusker vs Sofapaka 0-2
Dec 05 Tusker vs Ulinzi St… 1-0
Nov 29 Tusker vs Mara Sugar 0-1
Nov 22 Tusker vs Gor Mahia 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 01, 2025 Tusker 0 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Apr 27, 2025 Mathare United 2 - 1 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Dec 07, 2024 Tusker 2 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Apr 12, 2023 Mathare United 0 - 2 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Feb 18, 2023 Tusker 2 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Dec 30, 2021 Tusker 4 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Jul 20, 2021 Mathare United 0 - 0 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Jan 31, 2021 Tusker 1 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mathare United Power 0
Tusker Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Mathare United Position

-4

Position Gap

8

Tusker Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.