AI Match Insights

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Serie A Feb 09, 2026

Atalanta

Home
VS
17:30

Cremonese

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Atalanta Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Cremonese Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.81 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atalanta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Cremonese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Atalanta Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Atalanta vs Juventus 3-0
Feb 01 Atalanta vs Como 0-0
Jan 28 Atalanta vs Union Sai… 0-0
Jan 25 Atalanta vs Parma 4-0
Jan 21 Atalanta vs Athletic … 2-3
Jan 16 Atalanta vs Pisa 1-1
Jan 10 Atalanta vs Torino 2-0
Jan 07 Atalanta vs Bologna 0-2
Jan 03 Atalanta vs AS Roma 1-0
Dec 28 Atalanta vs Inter 0-1
Cremonese Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Cremonese vs Inter 0-2
Jan 25 Cremonese vs Sassuolo 1-0
Jan 19 Cremonese vs Verona 0-0
Jan 12 Cremonese vs Juventus 5-0
Jan 08 Cremonese vs Cagliari 2-2
Jan 04 Cremonese vs Fiorentina 1-0
Dec 28 Cremonese vs Napoli 0-2
Dec 20 Cremonese vs Lazio 0-0
Dec 13 Cremonese vs Torino 1-0
Dec 07 Cremonese vs Lecce 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cremonese struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Cremonese 1 - 1 Atalanta Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atalanta to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atalanta Power 40
Cremonese Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Atalanta Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Cremonese Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.