AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 09, 2026

AS Roma

Home
VS
19:45

Cagliari

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
AS Roma Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Cagliari Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.51 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.0 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Cagliari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
AS Roma Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 AS Roma vs Udinese 1-0
Jan 29 AS Roma vs Panathina… 0-0
Jan 25 AS Roma vs AC Milan 1-1
Jan 22 AS Roma vs VfB Stutt… 2-0
Jan 18 AS Roma vs Torino 0-2
Jan 13 AS Roma vs Torino 2-3
Jan 10 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 2-0
Jan 06 AS Roma vs Lecce 0-2
Jan 03 AS Roma vs Atalanta 1-0
Dec 29 AS Roma vs Genoa 3-1
Cagliari Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cagliari vs Verona 4-0
Jan 24 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 1-2
Jan 17 Cagliari vs Juventus 1-0
Jan 12 Cagliari vs Genoa 3-0
Jan 08 Cagliari vs Cremonese 2-2
Jan 02 Cagliari vs AC Milan 0-1
Dec 27 Cagliari vs Torino 1-2
Dec 21 Cagliari vs Pisa 2-2
Dec 13 Cagliari vs Atalanta 2-1
Dec 07 Cagliari vs AS Roma 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cagliari in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2025 Cagliari 1 - 0 AS Roma Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 AS Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Aug 18, 2024 Cagliari 0 - 0 AS Roma Pro League
Aug 18, 2024 Cagliari 0 - 0 AS Roma Serie A
Feb 05, 2024 AS Roma 4 - 0 Cagliari Pro League
Feb 05, 2024 AS Roma 4 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Oct 08, 2023 Cagliari 1 - 4 AS Roma Serie A
Jan 16, 2022 AS Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Oct 27, 2021 Cagliari 1 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Apr 25, 2021 Cagliari 3 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Roma to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AS Roma Power 41
Cagliari Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

AS Roma Position

+7

Position Gap

12

Cagliari Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.