AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 07, 2026

Genoa

Home
VS
17:00

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Genoa Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Napoli Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.87 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Genoa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Genoa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Genoa vs Lazio 3-2
Jan 25 Genoa vs Bologna 3-2
Jan 18 Genoa vs Parma 0-0
Jan 12 Genoa vs Cagliari 3-0
Jan 08 Genoa vs AC Milan 1-1
Jan 03 Genoa vs Pisa 1-1
Dec 29 Genoa vs AS Roma 3-1
Dec 21 Genoa vs Atalanta 0-1
Dec 14 Genoa vs Inter 1-2
Dec 08 Genoa vs Udinese 1-2
Napoli Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-1
Jan 28 Napoli vs Chelsea 0-1
Jan 25 Napoli vs Juventus 3-0
Jan 20 Napoli vs FC Copenh… 1-1
Jan 17 Napoli vs Sassuolo 1-0
Jan 14 Napoli vs Parma 0-0
Jan 11 Napoli vs Inter 2-2
Jan 07 Napoli vs Verona 2-2
Jan 04 Napoli vs Lazio 0-2
Dec 28 Napoli vs Cremonese 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Genoa Serie A
May 11, 2025 Napoli 2 - 2 Genoa Serie A
Dec 21, 2024 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Pro League
Dec 21, 2024 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Feb 17, 2024 Napoli 1 - 1 Genoa Serie A
Feb 17, 2024 Napoli 1 - 1 Genoa Pro League
Sep 16, 2023 Genoa 2 - 2 Napoli Serie A
May 15, 2022 Napoli 3 - 0 Genoa Serie A
Aug 29, 2021 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Feb 06, 2021 Genoa 2 - 1 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Genoa Power 32
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Genoa Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.