AI Match Insights

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Trophée des Champions Jan 08, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
18:00

Marseille

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Marseille Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.56 - 2.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 2.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-3 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-3 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Paris Saint Germain Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 20 Paris Sai… vs Vendée Fo… 0-4
Dec 13 Paris Sai… vs Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris Sai… vs Athletic … 0-0
Dec 06 Paris Sai… vs Rennes FC 5-0
Nov 29 Paris Sai… vs Monaco 1-0
Nov 26 Paris Sai… vs Tottenham 5-3
Nov 22 Paris Sai… vs LE Havre … 3-0
Nov 09 Paris Sai… vs Lyon 2-3
Nov 04 Paris Sai… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
Marseille Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Marseille vs Nantes 0-2
Dec 21 Marseille vs Bourg-en-… 0-6
Dec 14 Marseille vs Monaco 1-0
Dec 09 Marseille vs Union Sai… 2-3
Dec 05 Marseille vs Lille 1-0
Nov 29 Marseille vs Toulouse 2-2
Nov 25 Marseille vs Newcastle… 2-1
Nov 21 Marseille vs Nice 1-5
Nov 08 Marseille vs Stade Bre… 3-0
Nov 05 Marseille vs Atalanta 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Marseille struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2025 Marseille 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 16, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Oct 27, 2024 Marseille 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 31, 2024 Marseille 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Sep 24, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Feb 26, 2023 Marseille 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Feb 08, 2023 Marseille 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Oct 16, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Marseille Power 48
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.