AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 25, 2026

Carlos Renaux

Home
VS
21:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Carlos Renaux Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 48%
Market 36%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
xG: 2.09 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2 Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlos Renaux Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Carlos Renaux Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 0-1
Jan 17 Carlos Re… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 15 Carlos Re… vs Avaí 1-0
Jan 11 Carlos Re… vs Brusque 1-0
Jan 08 Carlos Re… vs Concórdia 0-1
Oct 13 Carlos Re… vs Nação 1-1
Oct 05 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-1
Oct 01 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 2-0
Sep 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 4-2
Sep 14 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-2
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Marcílio … vs Barra 0-1
Jan 18 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Jan 15 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 0-1
Jan 10 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 07 Marcílio … vs Criciúma 2-0
Nov 09 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 02 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 3-0
Oct 25 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 1-1
Oct 18 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 3-2
Oct 12 Marcílio … vs Barra 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carlos Renaux struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • MarcĂ­lio Dias struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlos Renaux Power 0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Carlos Renaux Position

-1

Position Gap

5

MarcĂ­lio Dias Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.