AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 07, 2026

Joinville

Home
VS
23:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Joinville Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Figueirense Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.60 - 1.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Joinville Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 16 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-4
Nov 09 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Nov 02 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Oct 27 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 2-2
Oct 21 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Oct 13 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Oct 07 Joinville vs Nação 0-1
Oct 01 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 2-0
Sep 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 4-2
Figueirense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-1
Nov 16 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-4
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Nov 02 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 3-0
Oct 26 Figueiren… vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Oct 22 Figueiren… vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Oct 12 Figueiren… vs Avaí 1-1
Oct 04 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-2
Oct 01 Figueiren… vs Barra 1-4
Sep 21 Figueiren… vs Guaraní A… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Joinville struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2025 Figueirense 2 - 1 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Nov 16, 2025 Joinville 1 - 4 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 11, 2025 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Joinville Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Figueirense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.