AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 08, 2025

Real Madrid

Home
VS
20:00

Atlético Madrid

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Atlético Madrid Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.97 - 2.19
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Real Madrid Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Real Madr… vs Levante 2-3
Feb 01 Real Madr… vs Mallorca 2-0
Feb 01 Real Madr… vs Espanyol 1-0
Jan 29 Real Madr… vs Stade Bre… 0-3
Jan 25 Real Madr… vs Villarreal 1-1
Jan 25 Real Madr… vs Valladolid 0-3
Jan 19 Real Madr… vs Las Palmas 4-1
Jan 18 Real Madr… vs Levante 1-0
Jan 16 Real Madr… vs Celta de … 5-2
Jan 12 Real Madr… vs FC Barcel… 2-5
Atlético Madrid Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Atlético … vs Getafe 5-0
Feb 01 Atlético … vs Mallorca 2-0
Jan 29 Atlético … vs RB Salzbu… 1-4
Jan 15 Atlético … vs Elche 0-4
Dec 21 Atlético … vs FC Barcel… 1-2
Nov 23 Atlético … vs Alavés 2-1
Nov 10 Atlético … vs Mallorca 0-1
Oct 27 Atlético … vs Real Betis 1-0
Oct 06 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 1-1
Sep 29 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2024 Atlético Madrid 1 - 1 Real Madrid La Liga
Feb 04, 2024 Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Jan 18, 2024 Atlético Madrid 4 - 2 Real Madrid Copa del Rey
Jan 10, 2024 Real Madrid 5 - 3 Atlético Madrid Super Cup
Sep 24, 2023 Atlético Madrid 3 - 1 Real Madrid La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Madrid to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Madrid Power 49
Atlético Madrid Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Madrid Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Atlético Madrid Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.