AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Oct 27, 2024

Marseille

Home
VS
19:45

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Marseille Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Paris Saint Germain Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.26 - 1.04
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Marseille Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Marseille vs Montpelliā€¦ 0-5
Oct 04 Marseille vs Angers 1-1
Oct 04 Marseille vs Angers 1-1
Sep 29 Marseille vs Strasbourg 1-0
Sep 22 Marseille vs Lyon 2-3
Sep 14 Marseille vs Nice 2-0
Sep 14 Marseille vs Nice 2-0
Aug 31 Marseille vs Toulouse 1-3
Aug 31 Marseille vs Toulouse 1-3
Aug 25 Marseille vs Reims 2-2
Paris Saint Germain Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 4-2
Sep 27 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 3-1
Sep 01 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-3
Aug 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs LE Havre ā€¦ 1-4
May 25 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lyon 1-2
May 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Metz 0-2
May 15 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Nice 1-2
May 12 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Toulouse 1-3
May 07 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Borussia ā€¦ 0-1
May 01 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Borussia ā€¦ 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 31, 2024 Marseille 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Sep 24, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Feb 26, 2023 Marseille 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Feb 08, 2023 Marseille 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Oct 16, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Marseille to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marseille Power 48
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Marseille Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.