AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Mar 31, 2024
Marseille
HomeVS
18:45
Paris Saint Germain
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Marseille Win
Draw
Paris Saint Germain Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 50%
Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.12 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%)
1-0 (19%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
Marseille Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | Marseille vs Rennes FC | 2-0 |
| Mar 17 | Marseille vs Rennes FC | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Marseille vs Villarreal | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Marseille vs Nantes | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Marseille vs Nantes | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Marseille vs Villarreal | 4-0 |
| Mar 02 | Marseille vs Clermont | 1-5 |
| Feb 25 | Marseille vs Montpelliā¦ | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Marseille vs Shakhtar ā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 18 | Marseille vs Brest | 1-0 |
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Nice | 3-1 |
| Mar 05 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Real Sociā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Monaco | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Rennes FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Real Sociā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Lille | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Stade Breā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 02 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Strasbourg | 1-2 |
| Dec 20 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Metz | 3-1 |
| Dec 17 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Lille | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Marseille struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 - 0 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Marseille | 0 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Marseille | 2 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain | Coupe de France |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 0 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Marseille to win (51% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Marseille Power
48
Paris Saint Germain Power
49
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Marseille Position-2
Position Gap1
Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.