AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Feb 26, 2023

Marseille

Home
VS
19:45

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Marseille Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Paris Saint Germain Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 3.02 - 1.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Marseille Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Marseille vs Toulouse 2-3
Feb 08 Marseille vs Paris Saiā€¦ 2-1
Feb 05 Marseille vs Nice 1-3
Feb 01 Marseille vs Nantes 0-2
Jan 28 Marseille vs Monaco 1-1
Jan 20 Marseille vs Rennes FC 1-0
Dec 29 Marseille vs Toulouse 6-1
Nov 13 Marseille vs Monaco 2-3
Oct 22 Marseille vs Lens 0-1
Oct 16 Marseille vs Paris Saiā€¦ 1-0
Paris Saint Germain Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 4-3
Feb 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 3-1
Feb 08 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 2-1
Jan 15 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-0
Dec 28 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 2-1
Dec 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Paris FC 2-1
Nov 13 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Auxerre 5-0
Oct 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 1-0
Aug 28 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 1-1
Aug 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-7
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marseille in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Paris Saint Germain struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2023 Marseille 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Oct 16, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Marseille to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marseille Power 48
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Marseille Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.