AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Aug 11, 2023

Cambuur

Home
VS
18:00

Emmen

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Cambuur Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Emmen Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.12 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cambuur Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Emmen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Cambuur Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Cambuur vs Emmen 1-2
Mar 12 Cambuur vs PSV Eindh… 5-2
Jan 15 Cambuur vs Emmen 0-0
Oct 01 Cambuur vs PSV Eindh… 3-0
May 11 Cambuur vs Willem II 1-1
Apr 23 Cambuur vs PSV Eindh… 1-2
Dec 10 Cambuur vs Willem II 1-3
Aug 21 Cambuur vs PSV Eindh… 4-1
Apr 16 Cambuur vs Helmond S… 4-1
Apr 09 Cambuur vs Den Bosch 3-5
Emmen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 04 Emmen vs FC OSS 2-3
Jun 11 Emmen vs Almere Ci… 1-2
Jun 06 Emmen vs Almere Ci… 2-0
Apr 01 Emmen vs Cambuur 1-2
Jan 15 Emmen vs Cambuur 0-0
May 06 Emmen vs ADO Den H… 3-0
Apr 22 Emmen vs Roda 2-0
Apr 08 Emmen vs Jong AZ 3-0
Mar 11 Emmen vs Jong Utre… 2-0
Mar 01 Emmen vs Helmond S… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Emmen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2023 Cambuur 1 - 2 Emmen Eredivisie
Jan 15, 2023 Emmen 0 - 0 Cambuur Eredivisie
Final Verdict

PRO: Cambuur to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cambuur Power 0
Emmen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cambuur Position

+12

Position Gap

14

Emmen Position
Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.