AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Oct 04, 2024

Denbigh Town

Home
VS
18:45

Mold Alexandra

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Denbigh Town Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Mold Alexandra Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 2.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.8 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Denbigh Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Mold Alexandra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (3%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Denbigh Town Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Denbigh T… vs Flint Mou… 4-4
Aug 23 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 5-1
Aug 10 Denbigh T… vs Mold Alex… 2-1
Jul 26 Denbigh T… vs Airbus UK 7-0
Jul 19 Denbigh T… vs Llay Mine… 3-1
Apr 23 Denbigh T… vs Bangor 18… 2-2
Apr 19 Denbigh T… vs Flint Tow… 1-2
Apr 06 Denbigh T… vs Llanidloe… 0-7
Mar 23 Denbigh T… vs Guilsfield 4-1
Mar 19 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 2-5
Mold Alexandra Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Mold Alex… vs Caersws 0-1
Aug 17 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 2-3
Aug 10 Mold Alex… vs Denbigh T… 2-1
Jul 27 Mold Alex… vs Llandudno 3-1
Jul 21 Mold Alex… vs Airbus UK 3-2
Apr 16 Mold Alex… vs Flint Tow… 0-4
Apr 13 Mold Alex… vs Ruthin To… 0-3
Apr 01 Mold Alex… vs Flint Tow… 6-3
Mar 29 Mold Alex… vs Caersws 2-1
Mar 09 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mold Alexandra in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Denbigh Town struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2024 Mold Alexandra 2 - 1 Denbigh Town FAW Championsh…
Dec 16, 2023 Mold Alexandra 2 - 0 Denbigh Town FAW Championsh…
Nov 03, 2023 Denbigh Town 3 - 2 Mold Alexandra FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Denbigh Town to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Denbigh Town Power 0
Mold Alexandra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Denbigh Town Position

+8

Position Gap

14

Mold Alexandra Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.