AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Aug 10, 2024

Mold Alexandra

Home
VS
13:30

Denbigh Town

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Mold Alexandra Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Denbigh Town Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.23 - 2.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 2.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mold Alexandra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Denbigh Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Mold Alexandra Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 Mold Alex… vs Llandudno 3-1
Jul 21 Mold Alex… vs Airbus UK 3-2
Apr 16 Mold Alex… vs Flint Tow… 0-4
Apr 13 Mold Alex… vs Ruthin To… 0-3
Apr 01 Mold Alex… vs Flint Tow… 6-3
Mar 29 Mold Alex… vs Caersws 2-1
Mar 09 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 1-3
Feb 24 Mold Alex… vs Airbus UK 0-3
Feb 03 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 1-2
Jan 06 Mold Alex… vs Llandudno 1-2
Denbigh Town Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Denbigh T… vs Airbus UK 7-0
Jul 19 Denbigh T… vs Llay Mine… 3-1
Apr 23 Denbigh T… vs Bangor 18… 2-2
Apr 19 Denbigh T… vs Flint Tow… 1-2
Apr 06 Denbigh T… vs Llanidloe… 0-7
Mar 23 Denbigh T… vs Guilsfield 4-1
Mar 19 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 2-5
Mar 02 Denbigh T… vs Airbus UK 3-1
Feb 24 Denbigh T… vs Guilsfield 2-2
Jan 12 Denbigh T… vs Llandudno 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mold Alexandra struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Denbigh Town struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2023 Mold Alexandra 2 - 0 Denbigh Town FAW Championsh…
Nov 03, 2023 Denbigh Town 3 - 2 Mold Alexandra FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mold Alexandra Power 0
Denbigh Town Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Mold Alexandra Position

-8

Position Gap

6

Denbigh Town Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.