AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Nov 03, 2023

Denbigh Town

Home
VS
19:30

Mold Alexandra

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Denbigh Town Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Mold Alexandra Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.90 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Denbigh Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Mold Alexandra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Denbigh Town Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 1-2
Sep 08 Denbigh T… vs Airbus UK 2-0
Jul 22 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 0-1
Mold Alexandra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Mold Alex… vs Llandudno 1-0
Sep 30 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 0-3
Aug 28 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 3-0
Aug 12 Mold Alex… vs Caersws 4-0
Jul 22 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 2-1
Feb 08 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 0-2
Jan 02 Mold Alex… vs Llandudno 1-2
Dec 07 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 2-1
Nov 26 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 2-0
Oct 29 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mold Alexandra struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Denbigh Town to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Denbigh Town Power 0
Mold Alexandra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Denbigh Town Position

+8

Position Gap

14

Mold Alexandra Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.