AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
EFL Trophy Nov 07, 2023

Doncaster

Home
VS
19:00

Brighton

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Doncaster Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Brighton Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.36 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Doncaster Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Doncaster Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Doncaster vs Stockport 1-0
Apr 18 Doncaster vs Stevenage 1-0
Mar 11 Doncaster vs AFC Wimbl… 2-1
Mar 04 Doncaster vs Stockport 0-0
Feb 25 Doncaster vs Brentford 0-1
Jan 07 Doncaster vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Oct 25 Doncaster vs Stevenage 0-1
Oct 08 Doncaster vs Leyton Or… 1-1
Sep 20 Doncaster vs Lincoln 1-2
Aug 16 Doncaster vs Stockport 2-1
Brighton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Brighton vs Everton 1-1
Oct 29 Brighton vs Fulham 1-1
Oct 28 Brighton vs Leyton Or… 0-0
Oct 21 Brighton vs Mancheste… 2-1
Oct 14 Brighton vs Lincoln 0-1
Oct 08 Brighton vs Liverpool 2-2
Oct 03 Brighton vs Wigan 2-1
Sep 30 Brighton vs Aston Vil… 6-1
Sep 30 Brighton vs Reading FC 0-0
Sep 24 Brighton vs Bournemou… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Doncaster struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2022 Doncaster 2 - 0 Brighton League One
Nov 27, 2021 Brighton 2 - 0 Doncaster League One
Apr 13, 2021 Doncaster 0 - 3 Brighton League One
Dec 19, 2020 Brighton 1 - 3 Doncaster League One
Final Verdict

ELITE: Doncaster to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-1 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
Doncaster Power 30
Brighton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.