AI Match Insights

League One Dec 19, 2020

Brighton

Home
VS
15:00

Doncaster

Away
AI Predictions 38.8% Confidence
Brighton Win
34.0%
Draw
27.2%
Doncaster Win
38.8%
Away Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Doncaster Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Brighton Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Brighton vs Fulham 0-0
Nov 21 Brighton vs Northampt… 1-3
Nov 06 Brighton vs Burnley 0-0
Oct 31 Brighton vs Blackpool 1-2
Oct 10 Brighton vs Plymouth 2-0
Jul 26 Brighton vs Burnley 1-2
Doncaster Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Doncaster vs Blackpool 3-2
Oct 31 Doncaster vs Lincoln 1-0
Oct 27 Doncaster vs Plymouth 2-1
Oct 03 Doncaster vs Wigan 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brighton struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brighton to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brighton Power 36
Doncaster Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.