AI Match Insights

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League Two Mar 04, 2025

Stranraer

Home
VS
19:45

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Stranraer Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Alloa Athletic Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.33 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Stranraer Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 0-1
Feb 22 Stranraer vs Stirling … 3-0
Feb 15 Stranraer vs Elgin City 1-0
Feb 08 Stranraer vs Clyde 2-0
Feb 01 Stranraer vs Spartans 2-0
Jan 25 Stranraer vs Alloa Ath… 0-1
Dec 28 Stranraer vs Clyde 1-1
Dec 21 Stranraer vs Stirling … 1-1
Dec 14 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 0-0
Dec 10 Stranraer vs Spartans 1-3
Alloa Athletic Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 2-1
Mar 01 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 0-1
Feb 25 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 1-1
Feb 15 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 2-0
Feb 08 Alloa Ath… vs Montrose 2-2
Feb 08 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 2-1
Feb 08 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 0-1
Feb 01 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-1
Jan 25 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-2
Jan 25 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stranraer in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 25, 2025 Alloa Athletic 0 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Sep 21, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Sep 07, 2024 Stranraer 1 - 5 Alloa Athletic Challenge Cup
Apr 27, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 0 Stranraer League Two
Mar 02, 2024 Stranraer 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League Two
Dec 02, 2023 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Sep 23, 2023 Stranraer 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Aug 15, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Stranraer Challenge Cup
Mar 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 0 - 0 Stranraer League Two
Nov 26, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stranraer to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Stranraer Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.