AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Apr 27, 2024

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
14:00

Stranraer

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Stranraer Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Alloa Athletic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 2-3
Apr 20 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Apr 17 Alloa Ath… vs New York … 2-3
Apr 13 Alloa Ath… vs Montrose 0-0
Apr 13 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 4-2
Apr 06 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 0-2
Apr 06 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 1-5
Apr 06 Alloa Ath… vs Hamilton … 1-3
Mar 30 Alloa Ath… vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Mar 30 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 1-0
Stranraer Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 0-0
Apr 13 Stranraer vs Spartans 0-0
Apr 06 Stranraer vs Clyde 1-0
Mar 16 Stranraer vs Elgin City 1-2
Mar 05 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 5-0
Mar 02 Stranraer vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Feb 24 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 2-1
Feb 17 Stranraer vs Spartans 1-2
Feb 10 Stranraer vs Clyde 2-0
Jan 06 Stranraer vs Elgin City 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2024 Stranraer 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League Two
Dec 02, 2023 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Sep 23, 2023 Stranraer 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Aug 15, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Stranraer Challenge Cup
Mar 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 0 - 0 Stranraer League Two
Nov 26, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League Two
Oct 15, 2022 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jul 30, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 0 Alloa Athletic League Two
Mar 05, 2022 Alloa Athletic 4 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jan 02, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Stranraer Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.