AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Dec 02, 2023

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Stranraer

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Stranraer Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.75 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Alloa Athletic Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Alloa Ath… vs Tranent J… 0-1
Nov 25 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 4-5
Nov 21 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 1-0
Nov 18 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 3-0
Nov 11 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 1-1
Nov 11 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 1-0
Nov 04 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 0-2
Oct 28 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 3-2
Oct 21 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 3-1
Sep 30 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 1-1
Stranraer Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Stranraer vs Airdrieon… 0-1
Nov 04 Stranraer vs Elgin City 3-1
Oct 07 Stranraer vs Spartans 3-4
Sep 30 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 3-1
Sep 23 Stranraer vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Aug 26 Stranraer vs Clyde 1-0
Aug 15 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 3-1
Aug 05 Stranraer vs Elgin City 0-1
Jul 22 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 2-1
Jul 08 Stranraer vs Ayr Utd 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Stranraer struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 23, 2023 Stranraer 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Nov 06, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Stranraer League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Stranraer Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.