AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Sep 23, 2023

Stranraer

Home
VS
14:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Stranraer Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Alloa Athletic Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.35 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Stranraer Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Stranraer vs Clyde 1-0
Aug 15 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 3-1
Aug 05 Stranraer vs Elgin City 0-1
Jul 22 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 2-1
Jul 08 Stranraer vs Ayr Utd 2-0
May 06 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 1-1
Apr 22 Stranraer vs Elgin City 3-1
Mar 25 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 0-0
Mar 18 Stranraer vs Stirling … 1-1
Mar 04 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 0-2
Alloa Athletic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Alloa Ath… vs Hamilton … 2-1
Sep 16 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 3-0
Sep 02 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 0-0
Sep 02 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Aug 26 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 3-2
Aug 19 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 2-1
Aug 15 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 0-0
Aug 12 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 0-1
Aug 12 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 0-0
Aug 05 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 3-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stranraer in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Alloa Athletic in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Stranraer League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stranraer to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Stranraer Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.