AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 01, 2025

Crawley Town

Home
VS
15:00

Cambridge United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Crawley Town Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.55 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Cambridge United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Crawley Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Crawley T… vs Blackpool 3-1
Feb 18 Crawley T… vs Wigan 1-1
Feb 15 Crawley T… vs Wycombe 1-1
Feb 11 Crawley T… vs Stevenage 3-1
Feb 08 Crawley T… vs Bolton 4-3
Feb 01 Crawley T… vs Wrexham 1-2
Jan 28 Crawley T… vs Mansfield… 0-1
Jan 25 Crawley T… vs Stockport 2-0
Jan 18 Crawley T… vs Bolton 1-1
Jan 04 Crawley T… vs Burnley 3-0
Cambridge United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Cambridge… vs Stockport 2-0
Feb 15 Cambridge… vs Exeter Ci… 0-1
Feb 11 Cambridge… vs Birmingham 4-0
Feb 08 Cambridge… vs Lincoln 1-1
Feb 01 Cambridge… vs Wycombe 1-1
Jan 28 Cambridge… vs Rotherham… 2-1
Jan 25 Cambridge… vs Mansfield… 3-2
Jan 18 Cambridge… vs Bolton 2-2
Jan 04 Cambridge… vs Bristol C… 0-1
Jan 04 Cambridge… vs Bristol R… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Cambridge United 0 - 1 Crawley Town League One
Aug 17, 2024 Cambridge United 0 - 1 Crawley Town Pro League
Jan 30, 2021 Cambridge United 3 - 1 Crawley Town League Two
Oct 31, 2020 Crawley Town 2 - 1 Cambridge United League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Crawley Town to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crawley Town Power 30
Cambridge United Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.