AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Jan 30, 2021

Cambridge United

Home
VS
15:00

Crawley Town

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Cambridge United Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Crawley Town Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.47 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cambridge United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Cambridge United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 09 Cambridge… vs Harrogate… 2-1
Jan 02 Cambridge… vs Grimsby 1-2
Dec 08 Cambridge… vs Birmingham 2-0
Dec 05 Cambridge… vs Oldham 1-2
Nov 14 Cambridge… vs Barrow 1-1
Nov 07 Cambridge… vs Shrewsbury 0-2
Oct 31 Cambridge… vs Crawley T… 2-1
Oct 27 Cambridge… vs Walsall 0-2
Sep 26 Cambridge… vs Tranmere … 0-0
Sep 05 Cambridge… vs Birmingham 0-1
Crawley Town Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Crawley T… vs Newport C… 1-1
Dec 12 Crawley T… vs Barrow 4-2
Dec 01 Crawley T… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Nov 14 Crawley T… vs Harrogate 1-1
Nov 03 Crawley T… vs Walsall 1-0
Oct 31 Crawley T… vs Cambridge… 2-1
Oct 24 Crawley T… vs Watford 1-1
Oct 10 Crawley T… vs Chelsea 2-0
Sep 26 Crawley T… vs Oldham 2-3
Sep 08 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cambridge United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 31, 2020 Crawley Town 2 - 1 Cambridge United League Two
Final Verdict

ELITE: Cambridge United to win (93% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Cambridge United Power 41
Crawley Town Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Cambridge United Position

+17

Position Gap

20

Crawley Town Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.