AI Match Insights
Campionato Mar 15, 2025
Tre Fiori
HomeVS
14:00
Pennarossa
AwayAI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
Draw
Pennarossa Win
Home Win
(65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Pennarossa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Tre Fiori Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 09 | Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Tre Fiori vs Murata | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Tre Fiori vs Libertas | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | Tre Fiori vs San Marin… | 0-4 |
| Jan 12 | Tre Fiori vs San Giova… | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | Tre Fiori vs Virtus | 0-2 |
| Dec 11 | Tre Fiori vs San Giova… | 2-2 |
| Dec 07 | Tre Fiori vs Cosmos | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Tre Fiori vs Faetano | 2-1 |
Pennarossa Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23 | Pennarossa vs Fiorentino | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pennarossa vs Faetano | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Pennarossa vs La Fiorit… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Pennarossa vs Cosmos | 2-3 |
| Jan 12 | Pennarossa vs Virtus | 2-1 |
| Dec 22 | Pennarossa vs Cailungo | 0-4 |
| Dec 08 | Pennarossa vs Juvenes /… | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Pennarossa vs Domagnano | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori | 1-6 |
| Oct 27 | Pennarossa vs Fiorentino | 4-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Tre Fiori in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Pennarossa struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | Pennarossa | 1 - 6 | Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Tre Fiori | 3 - 0 | Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Oct 04, 2023 | Pennarossa | 0 - 3 | Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Tre Fiori | 2 - 0 | Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Pennarossa | 0 - 1 | Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| May 25, 2022 | Pennarossa | 1 - 2 | Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Pennarossa | 1 - 1 | Tre Fiori | Campionato |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tre Fiori to win (43% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power
0
Pennarossa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Tre Fiori Position+5
Position Gap10
Pennarossa Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.