AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Feb 03, 2024

Tre Fiori

Home
VS
14:00

Pennarossa

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Pennarossa Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Pennarossa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Tre Fiori Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 3-1
Jan 20 Tre Fiori vs Virtus 1-0
Dec 16 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 2-1
Dec 10 Tre Fiori vs Murata 0-0
Nov 25 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Nov 11 Tre Fiori vs San Marin… 1-2
Nov 05 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 5-1
Oct 29 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 5-0
Oct 26 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 0-0
Oct 22 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 3-3
Pennarossa Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Pennarossa vs Virtus 1-4
Jan 21 Pennarossa vs Fiorentino 4-0
Dec 10 Pennarossa vs Faetano 2-0
Dec 02 Pennarossa vs Cosmos 1-5
Nov 26 Pennarossa vs Cailungo 0-0
Nov 11 Pennarossa vs La Fiorit… 0-3
Oct 28 Pennarossa vs Domagnano 1-2
Oct 07 Pennarossa vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Oct 04 Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori 0-3
Sep 22 Pennarossa vs Virtus 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pennarossa struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2023 Pennarossa 0 - 3 Tre Fiori Campionato
Feb 26, 2023 Tre Fiori 2 - 0 Pennarossa Campionato
Oct 15, 2022 Pennarossa 0 - 1 Tre Fiori Campionato
May 25, 2022 Pennarossa 1 - 2 Tre Fiori Campionato
Feb 13, 2022 Pennarossa 1 - 1 Tre Fiori Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Fiori to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power 0
Pennarossa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Tre Fiori Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Pennarossa Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.