AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Apr 26, 2025

Folgore

Home
VS
13:00

Domagnano

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Folgore Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Domagnano Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.14 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Folgore Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Domagnano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Folgore Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Folgore vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Apr 05 Folgore vs Faetano 1-1
Mar 30 Folgore vs Cosmos 1-1
Mar 16 Folgore vs Tre Penne 1-1
Mar 08 Folgore vs Murata 0-1
Mar 01 Folgore vs Virtus 0-2
Feb 23 Folgore vs San Marin… 1-3
Feb 15 Folgore vs Juvenes /… 1-0
Feb 02 Folgore vs Cailungo 1-3
Jan 11 Folgore vs Domagnano 0-1
Domagnano Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Domagnano vs San Giova… 2-2
Apr 13 Domagnano vs Fiorentino 0-3
Apr 05 Domagnano vs Libertas 1-0
Mar 30 Domagnano vs Pennarossa 2-4
Mar 16 Domagnano vs La Fiorit… 3-0
Mar 08 Domagnano vs Faetano 2-3
Feb 16 Domagnano vs Cosmos 0-0
Jan 21 Domagnano vs Virtus 3-0
Jan 18 Domagnano vs San Marin… 0-0
Jan 11 Domagnano vs Folgore 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Domagnano struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Domagnano 0 - 1 Folgore Campionato
Feb 03, 2024 Domagnano 1 - 0 Folgore Campionato
Oct 04, 2023 Folgore 1 - 1 Domagnano Campionato
Mar 05, 2023 Folgore 0 - 2 Domagnano Campionato
Oct 22, 2022 Domagnano 2 - 1 Folgore Campionato
Apr 27, 2022 Domagnano 1 - 1 Folgore Coppa Titano
Apr 24, 2022 Folgore 2 - 0 Domagnano Coppa Titano
Apr 02, 2022 Domagnano 1 - 0 Folgore Campionato
Sep 18, 2021 Folgore 0 - 1 Domagnano Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Folgore Power 0
Domagnano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Folgore Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Domagnano Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.