AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Mar 05, 2023

Folgore

Home
VS
14:00

Domagnano

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Folgore Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Domagnano Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 3.08 - 2.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 2.1
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Folgore Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Domagnano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Folgore Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Folgore vs Murata 0-2
Feb 12 Folgore vs Faetano 0-0
Feb 08 Folgore vs Virtus 1-0
Jan 25 Folgore vs Virtus 3-0
Jan 07 Folgore vs Cosmos 0-4
Dec 17 Folgore vs Tre Penne 1-2
Dec 14 Folgore vs Murata 3-2
Nov 30 Folgore vs Murata 1-1
Nov 26 Folgore vs Cailungo 4-1
Nov 06 Folgore vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Domagnano Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Domagnano vs La Fiorit… 2-3
Feb 12 Domagnano vs Fiorentino 0-0
Jan 21 Domagnano vs Virtus 5-2
Jan 08 Domagnano vs Faetano 1-4
Dec 10 Domagnano vs San Giova… 1-1
Dec 03 Domagnano vs Libertas 1-1
Nov 11 Domagnano vs Cosmos 1-2
Nov 06 Domagnano vs Pennarossa 2-2
Oct 22 Domagnano vs Folgore 2-1
Oct 19 Domagnano vs Libertas 6-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2022 Domagnano 2 - 1 Folgore Campionato
Apr 27, 2022 Domagnano 1 - 1 Folgore Coppa Titano
Apr 24, 2022 Folgore 2 - 0 Domagnano Coppa Titano
Apr 02, 2022 Domagnano 1 - 0 Folgore Campionato
Sep 18, 2021 Folgore 0 - 1 Domagnano Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Folgore Power 0
Domagnano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Folgore Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Domagnano Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.