AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 07, 2026

Newport County AFC

Home
VS
15:01

Grimsby

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Newport County AFC Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Grimsby Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 0.50 - 1.04
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport County AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (22%) 0-0 (21%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Newport County AFC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Newport C… vs Bristol R… 3-0
Jan 27 Newport C… vs Accringto… 1-4
Jan 24 Newport C… vs Chesterfi… 2-1
Jan 17 Newport C… vs Gillingham 3-2
Jan 01 Newport C… vs Bromley 2-1
Dec 29 Newport C… vs Crewe 2-0
Dec 26 Newport C… vs Barnet 0-0
Dec 20 Newport C… vs Colchester 4-1
Dec 13 Newport C… vs Fleetwood… 0-2
Dec 10 Newport C… vs Crewe 2-2
Grimsby Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 2-2
Jan 27 Grimsby vs Colchester 0-1
Jan 24 Grimsby vs Cheltenham 0-2
Jan 17 Grimsby vs Barnet 1-0
Jan 10 Grimsby vs Weston-su… 3-2
Jan 01 Grimsby vs Fleetwood… 0-1
Dec 29 Grimsby vs Shrewsbury 1-0
Dec 26 Grimsby vs Oldham 0-0
Dec 20 Grimsby vs Bromley 2-0
Dec 13 Grimsby vs Notts Cou… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grimsby in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Newport County AFC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Grimsby 2 - 1 Newport County AFC League Two
Mar 22, 2025 Grimsby 1 - 0 Newport County AFC Pro League
Mar 11, 2025 Grimsby 0 - 2 Newport County AFC League Two
Mar 11, 2025 Grimsby 0 - 2 Newport County AFC Pro League
Nov 16, 2024 Newport County AFC 0 - 0 Grimsby Pro League
Aug 22, 2024 Newport County AFC 4 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Aug 22, 2024 Newport County AFC 4 - 1 Grimsby Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1 - 0 Newport County AFC Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 5 Newport County AFC Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 5 Newport County AFC League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newport County AFC Power 26
Grimsby Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Newport County AFC Position

-14

Position Gap

9

Grimsby Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.