AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 07, 2026

Colchester

Home
VS
15:01

Shrewsbury

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Colchester Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Shrewsbury Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.00 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.3 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Colchester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Shrewsbury Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Colchester Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Colchester vs Crewe 1-0
Jan 27 Colchester vs Grimsby 0-1
Jan 24 Colchester vs Fleetwood… 2-1
Jan 17 Colchester vs Bristol R… 0-1
Jan 01 Colchester vs Milton Ke… 1-0
Dec 29 Colchester vs Gillingham 1-1
Dec 26 Colchester vs Crawley T… 1-1
Dec 20 Colchester vs Newport C… 4-1
Dec 13 Colchester vs Salford C… 4-3
Dec 06 Colchester vs Gillingham 0-0
Shrewsbury Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Shrewsbury vs Barnet 0-0
Jan 27 Shrewsbury vs Cambridge… 1-0
Jan 24 Shrewsbury vs Milton Ke… 5-1
Jan 17 Shrewsbury vs Harrogate… 1-0
Jan 10 Shrewsbury vs Wolves 6-1
Jan 01 Shrewsbury vs Bristol R… 0-3
Dec 29 Shrewsbury vs Grimsby 1-0
Dec 26 Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham 3-1
Dec 20 Shrewsbury vs Chesterfi… 0-1
Dec 13 Shrewsbury vs Walsall 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Colchester in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Shrewsbury struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 42% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Colchester Power 0
Shrewsbury Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Colchester Position

+10

Position Gap

22

Shrewsbury Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 7%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.