AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 07, 2026

Swindon Town

Home
VS
12:31

Oldham

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Swindon Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Oldham Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 3.70 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.0 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Swindon Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Oldham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Swindon Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Swindon T… vs Harrogate… 0-1
Jan 31 Swindon T… vs Barrow 3-1
Jan 27 Swindon T… vs Notts Cou… 2-1
Jan 24 Swindon T… vs Bromley 2-1
Jan 17 Swindon T… vs Salford C… 2-3
Jan 01 Swindon T… vs Gillingham 2-0
Dec 29 Swindon T… vs Cheltenham 0-2
Dec 26 Swindon T… vs Milton Ke… 1-0
Dec 20 Swindon T… vs Crawley T… 1-0
Dec 13 Swindon T… vs Bristol R… 0-3
Oldham Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Oldham vs Cambridge… 0-3
Jan 24 Oldham vs Barnet 3-2
Jan 17 Oldham vs Cheltenham 2-1
Jan 01 Oldham vs Chesterfi… 1-1
Dec 29 Oldham vs Walsall 1-2
Dec 26 Oldham vs Grimsby 0-0
Dec 20 Oldham vs Tranmere … 3-1
Dec 13 Oldham vs Crawley T… 2-2
Dec 10 Oldham vs Walsall 0-1
Dec 06 Oldham vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Swindon Town struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Oldham 1 - 2 Swindon Town League Two
Mar 12, 2022 Swindon Town 1 - 0 Oldham League Two
Oct 30, 2021 Oldham 1 - 3 Swindon Town League Two
Final Verdict

PRO: Draw expected (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-1 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Swindon Town Power 0
Oldham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Swindon Town Position

+12

Position Gap

16

Oldham Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 31%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.