AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 07, 2026

Crawley Town

Home
VS
12:31

Crewe

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Crawley Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Crewe Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.80 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Crawley Town Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Crawley T… vs Harrogate… 2-0
Jan 27 Crawley T… vs Walsall 0-0
Jan 27 Crawley T… vs Boreham W… 2-0
Jan 24 Crawley T… vs Barrow 0-1
Jan 17 Crawley T… vs Notts Cou… 1-2
Jan 04 Crawley T… vs Cheltenham 3-0
Jan 01 Crawley T… vs Barnet 2-1
Dec 29 Crawley T… vs Bromley 1-3
Dec 26 Crawley T… vs Colchester 1-1
Dec 20 Crawley T… vs Swindon T… 1-0
Crewe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Crewe vs Barnet 1-1
Jan 31 Crewe vs Colchester 1-0
Jan 27 Crewe vs Burnley 2-2
Jan 24 Crewe vs Notts Cou… 1-0
Jan 17 Crewe vs Barrow 3-1
Jan 10 Crewe vs Harrogate… 1-1
Jan 01 Crewe vs Cheltenham 4-1
Dec 29 Crewe vs Newport C… 2-0
Dec 26 Crewe vs Walsall 1-0
Dec 19 Crewe vs Bristol R… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
May 19, 2024 Crawley Town 2 - 0 Crewe League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town Pro League
Feb 10, 2024 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Oct 21, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 4 Crewe League Two
Feb 11, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 2 Crewe League Two
Sep 17, 2022 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crawley Town Power 30
Crewe Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Crawley Town Position

-10

Position Gap

10

Crewe Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.