AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 07, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

Home
VS
13:00

Oviedo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Rayo Vallecano Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Oviedo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.84 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rayo Vallecano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Oviedo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Rayo Vallecano Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Rayo Vall… vs Real Madr… 2-1
Jan 24 Rayo Vall… vs Osasuna 1-3
Jan 18 Rayo Vall… vs Celta de … 3-0
Jan 14 Rayo Vall… vs Alavés 2-0
Jan 11 Rayo Vall… vs Mallorca 2-1
Jan 06 Rayo Vall… vs Granada CF 1-3
Jan 02 Rayo Vall… vs Getafe 1-1
Dec 21 Rayo Vall… vs Elche 4-0
Dec 18 Rayo Vall… vs Drita 3-0
Dec 15 Rayo Vall… vs Real Betis 0-0
Oviedo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Oviedo vs Girona 1-0
Jan 25 Oviedo vs Barcelona 3-0
Jan 17 Oviedo vs Osasuna 3-2
Jan 10 Oviedo vs Real Betis 1-1
Jan 04 Oviedo vs Alavés 1-1
Dec 20 Oviedo vs Celta de … 0-0
Dec 14 Oviedo vs Sevilla FC 4-0
Dec 05 Oviedo vs Mallorca 0-0
Nov 29 Oviedo vs Atlético … 2-0
Nov 23 Oviedo vs Rayo Vall… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rayo Vallecano struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2025 Oviedo 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano La Liga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Rayo Vallecano to win (86% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 86% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rayo Vallecano Power 49
Oviedo Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Rayo Vallecano Position

+2

Position Gap

20

Oviedo Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.