AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 09, 2026

Villarreal

Home
VS
20:00

Espanyol

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Villarreal Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Espanyol Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 1.42
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Villarreal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Espanyol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Villarreal Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Villarreal vs Osasuna 2-2
Jan 28 Villarreal vs Bayer Lev… 1-0
Jan 24 Villarreal vs Real Madr… 0-2
Jan 20 Villarreal vs Ajax 1-2
Jan 17 Villarreal vs Real Betis 2-0
Jan 10 Villarreal vs Alavés 3-1
Jan 03 Villarreal vs Elche 1-3
Dec 21 Villarreal vs Barcelona 0-2
Dec 17 Villarreal vs Racing Sa… 2-1
Dec 10 Villarreal vs FC Copenh… 2-3
Espanyol Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Espanyol vs Alavés 1-2
Jan 24 Espanyol vs Valencia 3-2
Jan 16 Espanyol vs Girona 0-2
Jan 11 Espanyol vs Levante 1-1
Jan 03 Espanyol vs Barcelona 0-2
Dec 22 Espanyol vs Athletic … 1-2
Dec 13 Espanyol vs Getafe 0-1
Dec 07 Espanyol vs Rayo Vall… 1-0
Dec 04 Espanyol vs Atlético … 1-0
Nov 30 Espanyol vs Celta de … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Villarreal struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Espanyol struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Espanyol 0 - 2 Villarreal La Liga
Apr 27, 2025 Villarreal 1 - 0 Espanyol La Liga
Sep 26, 2024 Espanyol 1 - 2 Villarreal Pro League
Jan 20, 2024 Espanyol 2 - 1 Villarreal Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Villarreal Power 43
Espanyol Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Villarreal Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Espanyol Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.