AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Jan 31, 2026

Ayr Utd

Home
VS
15:00

Raith Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Ayr Utd Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Raith Rovers Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 56%
Market 51%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 54%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
xG: 0.98 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2 Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Ayr Utd Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Ayr Utd vs Partick 2-1
Jan 17 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Jan 13 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 4-1
Jan 10 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 1-1
Dec 27 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-1
Dec 20 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 2-3
Dec 12 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnst… 2-4
Dec 09 Ayr Utd vs Peterhead 2-1
Dec 06 Ayr Utd vs Partick 0-0
Nov 29 Ayr Utd vs Turriff U… 3-0
Raith Rovers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Jan 24 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 4-1
Jan 18 Raith Rov… vs Aberdeen 1-0
Jan 10 Raith Rov… vs Arbroath 2-3
Jan 06 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 1-0
Jan 03 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 0-0
Dec 27 Raith Rov… vs Dunfermli… 1-2
Dec 20 Raith Rov… vs Partick 0-0
Dec 13 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 6-0
Dec 09 Raith Rov… vs Hamilton … 5-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 11, 2025 Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Ayr Utd Championship
Aug 09, 2025 Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 05, 2025 Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Jan 04, 2025 Ayr Utd 3 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Nov 01, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Sep 08, 2024 Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Raith Rovers Challenge Cup
Aug 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ayr Utd Power 0
Raith Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Ayr Utd Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Raith Rovers Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.